Streamwide (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 27.1

ALSTW Stock  EUR 28.50  0.80  2.89%   
Streamwide's future price is the expected price of Streamwide instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Streamwide performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Streamwide Backtesting, Streamwide Valuation, Streamwide Correlation, Streamwide Hype Analysis, Streamwide Volatility, Streamwide History as well as Streamwide Performance.
  
Please specify Streamwide's target price for which you would like Streamwide odds to be computed.

Streamwide Target Price Odds to finish over 27.1

The tendency of Streamwide Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 27.10  in 90 days
 28.50 90 days 27.10 
about 91.06
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Streamwide to stay above € 27.10  in 90 days from now is about 91.06 (This Streamwide probability density function shows the probability of Streamwide Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Streamwide price to stay between € 27.10  and its current price of €28.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.05 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Streamwide has a beta of -0.0084. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Streamwide are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Streamwide is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Streamwide has an alpha of 0.0308, implying that it can generate a 0.0308 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Streamwide Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Streamwide

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Streamwide. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Streamwide's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.5928.5030.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.6824.5931.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.4428.3530.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.1327.9828.83
Details

Streamwide Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Streamwide is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Streamwide's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Streamwide, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Streamwide within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0084
σ
Overall volatility
1.77
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Streamwide Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Streamwide for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Streamwide can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Streamwide generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Streamwide Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Streamwide Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Streamwide's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Streamwide's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments8.2 M

Streamwide Technical Analysis

Streamwide's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Streamwide Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Streamwide. In general, you should focus on analyzing Streamwide Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Streamwide Predictive Forecast Models

Streamwide's time-series forecasting models is one of many Streamwide's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Streamwide's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Streamwide

Checking the ongoing alerts about Streamwide for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Streamwide help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Streamwide generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 66.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Streamwide Stock Analysis

When running Streamwide's price analysis, check to measure Streamwide's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Streamwide is operating at the current time. Most of Streamwide's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Streamwide's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Streamwide's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Streamwide to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.