UV Germi (France) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.13
| ALUVI Stock | EUR 2.55 0.06 2.41% |
ALUVI |
UV Germi Target Price Odds to finish below 0.13
The tendency of ALUVI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 0.13 or more in 90 days |
| 2.55 | 90 days | 0.13 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of UV Germi to drop to € 0.13 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This UV Germi SA probability density function shows the probability of ALUVI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of UV Germi SA price to stay between € 0.13 and its current price of €2.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon UV Germi SA has a beta of -0.59. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding UV Germi are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, UV Germi SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally UV Germi SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. UV Germi Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for UV Germi
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UV Germi SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.UV Germi Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. UV Germi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the UV Germi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold UV Germi SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of UV Germi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
UV Germi Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of UV Germi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for UV Germi SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| UV Germi SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 6.32 M. Net Loss for the year was (869.52 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.66 M. | |
| About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
UV Germi Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ALUVI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential UV Germi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. UV Germi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.6 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 233.7 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 M |
UV Germi Technical Analysis
UV Germi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ALUVI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of UV Germi SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing ALUVI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
UV Germi Predictive Forecast Models
UV Germi's time-series forecasting models is one of many UV Germi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary UV Germi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about UV Germi SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about UV Germi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for UV Germi SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| UV Germi SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 6.32 M. Net Loss for the year was (869.52 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.66 M. | |
| About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for ALUVI Stock Analysis
When running UV Germi's price analysis, check to measure UV Germi's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UV Germi is operating at the current time. Most of UV Germi's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UV Germi's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UV Germi's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UV Germi to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.