Amc Entertainment Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.23
| AMC Stock | USD 1.23 0.01 0.82% |
Closest to current price AMC long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
AMC Entertainment Target Price Odds to finish over 1.23
The tendency of AMC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.23 | 90 days | 1.23 | more than 94.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AMC Entertainment to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This AMC Entertainment Holdings probability density function shows the probability of AMC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
AMC Entertainment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AMC Entertainment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AMC Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AMC Entertainment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AMC Entertainment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AMC Entertainment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AMC Entertainment Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AMC Entertainment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.27 |
AMC Entertainment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AMC Entertainment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AMC Entertainment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AMC Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AMC Entertainment may become a speculative penny stock | |
| AMC Entertainment has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| AMC Entertainment has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments | |
| AMC Entertainment Holdings has 8.28 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 852.6, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. AMC Entertainment has a current ratio of 0.55, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for AMC to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 4.85 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (352.6 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 728.3 M. | |
| AMC Entertainment Holdings has about 632.3 M in cash with (50.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.33, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| AMC Entertainment has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from fool.com.au: Amcor shares jump 10 percent higher in February. Is there more upside ahead |
AMC Entertainment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AMC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AMC Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AMC Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 513 M | |
| Shares Float | 461.5 M |
AMC Entertainment Technical Analysis
AMC Entertainment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AMC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AMC Entertainment Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing AMC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AMC Entertainment Predictive Forecast Models
AMC Entertainment's time-series forecasting models is one of many AMC Entertainment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AMC Entertainment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AMC Entertainment
Checking the ongoing alerts about AMC Entertainment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AMC Entertainment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AMC Entertainment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AMC Entertainment may become a speculative penny stock | |
| AMC Entertainment has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| AMC Entertainment has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments | |
| AMC Entertainment Holdings has 8.28 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 852.6, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. AMC Entertainment has a current ratio of 0.55, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for AMC to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 4.85 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (352.6 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 728.3 M. | |
| AMC Entertainment Holdings has about 632.3 M in cash with (50.8 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.33, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| AMC Entertainment has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from fool.com.au: Amcor shares jump 10 percent higher in February. Is there more upside ahead |
Check out AMC Entertainment Analysis, AMC Entertainment Valuation, AMC Entertainment Correlation, AMC Entertainment Hype Analysis, AMC Entertainment Volatility, AMC Entertainment Price History as well as AMC Entertainment Performance. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Will Movies & Entertainment sector continue expanding? Could AMC diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AMC Entertainment. If investors know AMC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every AMC Entertainment data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
AMC Entertainment's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on AMC's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate AMC Entertainment's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since AMC Entertainment's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that AMC Entertainment's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether AMC Entertainment represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, AMC Entertainment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.