Aama Equity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 19.94
| AMFEX Fund | USD 20.29 0.04 0.20% |
Aama |
Aama Equity Target Price Odds to finish below 19.94
The tendency of Aama Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 19.94 or more in 90 days |
| 20.29 | 90 days | 19.94 | about 82.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aama Equity to drop to $ 19.94 or more in 90 days from now is about 82.2 (This Aama Equity Fund probability density function shows the probability of Aama Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aama Equity Fund price to stay between $ 19.94 and its current price of $20.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aama Equity has a beta of 0.77. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aama Equity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aama Equity Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aama Equity Fund has an alpha of 0.0016, implying that it can generate a 0.001626 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aama Equity Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aama Equity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aama Equity Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aama Equity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aama Equity Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aama Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aama Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aama Equity Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aama Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.77 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Aama Equity Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aama Equity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aama Equity Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund holds about 6.99% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Aama Equity Technical Analysis
Aama Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aama Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aama Equity Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aama Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aama Equity Predictive Forecast Models
Aama Equity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aama Equity's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aama Equity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aama Equity Fund
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aama Equity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aama Equity Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund holds about 6.99% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Other Information on Investing in Aama Mutual Fund
Aama Equity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aama Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aama with respect to the benefits of owning Aama Equity security.
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