Aama Equity Fund Price Prediction

AMFEX Fund  USD 20.14  0.11  0.55%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Aama Equity's the mutual fund price is slightly above 69. This suggests that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Aama, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

69

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Aama Equity's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Aama Equity Fund, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Aama Equity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aama Equity Fund from the perspective of Aama Equity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aama Equity to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aama because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Aama Equity after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 20.14  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Aama Equity Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aama Equity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.2919.9420.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.2519.9020.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.0020.1020.21
Details

Aama Equity After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Aama Equity at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aama Equity or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Aama Equity, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Aama Equity Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Aama Equity's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aama Equity's historical news coverage. Aama Equity's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.49 and 20.79, respectively. We have considered Aama Equity's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
20.14
20.14
After-hype Price
20.79
Upside
Aama Equity is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aama Equity Fund is based on 3 months time horizon.

Aama Equity Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Aama Equity is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aama Equity backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aama Equity, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
0.66
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
20.14
20.14
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Aama Equity Hype Timeline

Aama Equity Fund is presently traded for 20.14. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Aama is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aama Equity is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.14. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of December 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Aama Equity Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Aama Equity Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Aama Equity's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aama Equity's future price movements. Getting to know how Aama Equity's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aama Equity may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Aama Equity Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Aama price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aama using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aama charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Aama Equity Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Aama Equity stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aama Equity Fund, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aama Equity based on analysis of Aama Equity hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aama Equity's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aama Equity's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Aama Equity

The number of cover stories for Aama Equity depends on current market conditions and Aama Equity's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aama Equity is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aama Equity's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Aama Mutual Fund

Aama Equity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aama Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aama with respect to the benefits of owning Aama Equity security.
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