Amplifon Spa Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 15.67

AMFPF Stock  USD 15.67  0.82  4.97%   
Amplifon SpA's future price is the expected price of Amplifon SpA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amplifon SpA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Amplifon SpA Analysis, Amplifon SpA Valuation, Amplifon SpA Correlation, Amplifon SpA Hype Analysis, Amplifon SpA Volatility, Amplifon SpA Price History as well as Amplifon SpA Performance.
  
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Amplifon SpA Target Price Odds to finish over 15.67

The tendency of Amplifon OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.67 90 days 15.67 
about 67.36
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amplifon SpA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 67.36 (This Amplifon SpA probability density function shows the probability of Amplifon OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Amplifon SpA has a beta of -0.17. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Amplifon SpA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Amplifon SpA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Amplifon SpA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Amplifon SpA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amplifon SpA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amplifon SpA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.0915.6717.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.0415.6217.20
Details

Amplifon SpA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amplifon SpA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amplifon SpA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amplifon SpA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amplifon SpA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Amplifon SpA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amplifon SpA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amplifon SpA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amplifon SpA has accumulated 1.57 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.61, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Amplifon SpA has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Amplifon SpA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Amplifon SpA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Amplifon SpA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Amplifon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Amplifon SpA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 42.0% of Amplifon SpA shares are held by company insiders

Amplifon SpA Technical Analysis

Amplifon SpA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amplifon OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amplifon SpA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amplifon OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amplifon SpA Predictive Forecast Models

Amplifon SpA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amplifon SpA's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amplifon SpA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amplifon SpA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amplifon SpA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amplifon SpA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amplifon SpA has accumulated 1.57 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.61, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Amplifon SpA has a current ratio of 0.61, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Amplifon SpA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Amplifon SpA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Amplifon SpA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Amplifon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Amplifon SpA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 42.0% of Amplifon SpA shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Amplifon OTC Stock

Amplifon SpA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amplifon OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amplifon with respect to the benefits of owning Amplifon SpA security.