Amplifon SpA OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

AMFPF Stock  USD 16.49  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Amplifon SpA on the next trading day is expected to be 16.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.84. Amplifon OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Amplifon SpA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026, the value of RSI of Amplifon SpA's share price is approaching 49. This suggests that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Amplifon SpA, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Amplifon SpA stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Amplifon SpA shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Amplifon SpA's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Amplifon SpA and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Amplifon SpA's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Amplifon SpA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Amplifon SpA based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Amplifon SpA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amplifon SpA from the perspective of Amplifon SpA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Amplifon SpA on the next trading day is expected to be 16.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.84.

Amplifon SpA after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 16.49  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplifon SpA to cross-verify your projections.

Amplifon SpA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Amplifon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amplifon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amplifon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Amplifon SpA is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Amplifon SpA Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Amplifon SpA on the next trading day is expected to be 16.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amplifon OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amplifon SpA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Amplifon SpA OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Amplifon SpAAmplifon SpA Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Amplifon SpA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Amplifon SpA's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amplifon SpA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.35 and 18.63, respectively. We have considered Amplifon SpA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.49
16.49
Expected Value
18.63
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amplifon SpA otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amplifon SpA otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.6547
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0384
MADMean absolute deviation0.133
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0085
SAESum of the absolute errors7.845
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Amplifon SpA price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Amplifon SpA. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Amplifon SpA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amplifon SpA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.3616.4918.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.2716.4018.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.2416.1417.04
Details

Amplifon SpA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Amplifon SpA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Amplifon SpA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Amplifon SpA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Amplifon SpA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Amplifon SpA's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amplifon SpA's historical news coverage. Amplifon SpA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.36 and 18.62, respectively. We have considered Amplifon SpA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
16.49
16.49
After-hype Price
18.62
Upside
Amplifon SpA is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amplifon SpA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Amplifon SpA OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Amplifon SpA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amplifon SpA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amplifon SpA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
2.14
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.49
16.49
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Amplifon SpA Hype Timeline

Amplifon SpA is presently traded for 16.49. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Amplifon is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Amplifon SpA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.49. About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 22nd of May 2017. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amplifon SpA to cross-verify your projections.

Amplifon SpA Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Amplifon SpA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amplifon SpA's future price movements. Getting to know how Amplifon SpA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Amplifon SpA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NHNKYNihon Kohden Corp 0.00 0 per month 4.81 (0) 8.10 (9.26) 30.18 
BUHPFBumrungrad Hospital Public 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MEPDFMediPal Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MAHLYMedipal Holdings Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.05  2.38 (0.83) 10.68 
BUGDFBumrungrad Hospital PCL 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
WLCGFWelcia Holdings Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CZMWYCarl Zeiss Meditec 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.24) 2.76 (2.86) 14.59 
CZMWFCarl Zeiss Meditec 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.22) 3.11 (4.19) 15.66 
SDGCFSundrug CoLtd 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AMBBYAmbu AS 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 2.88 (2.94) 16.31 

Other Forecasting Options for Amplifon SpA

For every potential investor in Amplifon, whether a beginner or expert, Amplifon SpA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amplifon OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amplifon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amplifon SpA's price trends.

Amplifon SpA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amplifon SpA otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amplifon SpA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amplifon SpA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Amplifon SpA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amplifon SpA otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amplifon SpA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amplifon SpA otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Amplifon SpA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Amplifon SpA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Amplifon SpA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amplifon SpA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amplifon otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Amplifon SpA

The number of cover stories for Amplifon SpA depends on current market conditions and Amplifon SpA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Amplifon SpA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Amplifon SpA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Amplifon OTC Stock

Amplifon SpA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amplifon OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amplifon with respect to the benefits of owning Amplifon SpA security.