Argent Mid Cap Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 32.12

AMID Etf  USD 37.03  0.31  0.84%   
Argent Mid's future price is the expected price of Argent Mid instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Argent Mid Cap performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Argent Mid Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Argent Mid Correlation, Argent Mid Hype Analysis, Argent Mid Volatility, Argent Mid History as well as Argent Mid Performance.
  
Please specify Argent Mid's target price for which you would like Argent Mid odds to be computed.

Argent Mid Target Price Odds to finish below 32.12

The tendency of Argent Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 32.12  or more in 90 days
 37.03 90 days 32.12 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Argent Mid to drop to $ 32.12  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Argent Mid Cap probability density function shows the probability of Argent Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Argent Mid Cap price to stay between $ 32.12  and its current price of $37.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.09 . This suggests Argent Mid Cap market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Argent Mid is expected to follow. Additionally Argent Mid Cap has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Argent Mid Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Argent Mid

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Argent Mid Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.0237.0138.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.6536.6437.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.1536.1337.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.6336.9337.22
Details

Argent Mid Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Argent Mid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Argent Mid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Argent Mid Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Argent Mid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.91
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Argent Mid Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Argent Mid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Argent Mid Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Argent Mid Cap has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Argent Mid Cap currently holds 1.08 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 245.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Argent Mid Cap has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Argent Mid until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Argent Mid's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Argent Mid Cap sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Argent to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Argent Mid's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 771.9 M. Net Loss for the year was (37.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 123.6 M.
Argent Mid Cap currently holds about 15.79 M in cash with (13.91 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.29.
Roughly 57.0% of Argent Mid shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: U.S. MORTGAGE LENDING RISES IN Q3 2024 AMID REFINANCING SURGE, BUT REMAINS BELOW HISTORIC HIGHS
The fund holds 98.8% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Argent Mid Technical Analysis

Argent Mid's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Argent Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Argent Mid Cap. In general, you should focus on analyzing Argent Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Argent Mid Predictive Forecast Models

Argent Mid's time-series forecasting models is one of many Argent Mid's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Argent Mid's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Argent Mid Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Argent Mid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Argent Mid Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Argent Mid Cap has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Argent Mid Cap currently holds 1.08 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 245.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Argent Mid Cap has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Argent Mid until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Argent Mid's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Argent Mid Cap sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Argent to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Argent Mid's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 771.9 M. Net Loss for the year was (37.98 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 123.6 M.
Argent Mid Cap currently holds about 15.79 M in cash with (13.91 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.29.
Roughly 57.0% of Argent Mid shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: U.S. MORTGAGE LENDING RISES IN Q3 2024 AMID REFINANCING SURGE, BUT REMAINS BELOW HISTORIC HIGHS
The fund holds 98.8% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
When determining whether Argent Mid Cap is a strong investment it is important to analyze Argent Mid's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Argent Mid's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Argent Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Argent Mid Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Argent Mid Correlation, Argent Mid Hype Analysis, Argent Mid Volatility, Argent Mid History as well as Argent Mid Performance.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
The market value of Argent Mid Cap is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Argent that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Argent Mid's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Argent Mid's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Argent Mid's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Argent Mid's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Argent Mid's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Argent Mid is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Argent Mid's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.