American Lithium Minerals Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.04
| AMLM Stock | USD 0.03 0.01 30.79% |
American |
American Lithium Target Price Odds to finish below 0.04
The tendency of American Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.04 after 90 days |
| 0.03 | 90 days | 0.04 | about 87.14 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Lithium to stay under $ 0.04 after 90 days from now is about 87.14 (This American Lithium Minerals probability density function shows the probability of American Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Lithium Minerals price to stay between its current price of $ 0.03 and $ 0.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.9 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days American Lithium has a beta of 0.67. This suggests as returns on the market go up, American Lithium average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding American Lithium Minerals will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover American Lithium Minerals has an alpha of 1.5857, implying that it can generate a 1.59 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). American Lithium Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for American Lithium
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Lithium Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.American Lithium Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Lithium is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Lithium's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Lithium Minerals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Lithium within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.59 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
American Lithium Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Lithium for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Lithium Minerals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American Lithium is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| American Lithium has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| American Lithium appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| American Lithium has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.03, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist American Lithium until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, American Lithium's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like American Lithium Minerals sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for American to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about American Lithium's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (10.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| American Lithium Minerals currently holds about 11.08 K in cash with (1.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
American Lithium Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Lithium's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Lithium's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 425.8 K |
American Lithium Technical Analysis
American Lithium's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Lithium Minerals. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
American Lithium Predictive Forecast Models
American Lithium's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Lithium's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Lithium's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about American Lithium Minerals
Checking the ongoing alerts about American Lithium for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Lithium Minerals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| American Lithium is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| American Lithium has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| American Lithium appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| American Lithium has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.03, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist American Lithium until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, American Lithium's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like American Lithium Minerals sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for American to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about American Lithium's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (10.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| American Lithium Minerals currently holds about 11.08 K in cash with (1.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Other Information on Investing in American Pink Sheet
American Lithium financial ratios help investors to determine whether American Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Lithium security.