Ab Minnesota Portfolio Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.56
| AMNCX Fund | USD 9.66 0.04 0.42% |
AMNCX |
Ab Minnesota Target Price Odds to finish below 9.56
The tendency of AMNCX Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 9.56 or more in 90 days |
| 9.66 | 90 days | 9.56 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ab Minnesota to drop to $ 9.56 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Ab Minnesota Portfolio probability density function shows the probability of AMNCX Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ab Minnesota Portfolio price to stay between $ 9.56 and its current price of $9.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ab Minnesota Portfolio has a beta of -0.0732. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ab Minnesota are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ab Minnesota Portfolio is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ab Minnesota Portfolio has an alpha of 5.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 4.52E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ab Minnesota Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ab Minnesota
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ab Minnesota Portfolio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ab Minnesota's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ab Minnesota Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ab Minnesota is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ab Minnesota's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ab Minnesota Portfolio, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ab Minnesota within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.0005 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.63 |
Ab Minnesota Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ab Minnesota for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ab Minnesota Portfolio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Ab Minnesota Portfolio holds most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments. |
Ab Minnesota Technical Analysis
Ab Minnesota's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AMNCX Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ab Minnesota Portfolio. In general, you should focus on analyzing AMNCX Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ab Minnesota Predictive Forecast Models
Ab Minnesota's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ab Minnesota's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ab Minnesota's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ab Minnesota Portfolio
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ab Minnesota for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ab Minnesota Portfolio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Ab Minnesota Portfolio holds most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments. |
Other Information on Investing in AMNCX Mutual Fund
Ab Minnesota financial ratios help investors to determine whether AMNCX Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AMNCX with respect to the benefits of owning Ab Minnesota security.
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