Armanino Foods New Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 11.50

AMNF Stock  USD 11.50  0.12  1.05%   
Armanino Foods' future price is the expected price of Armanino Foods instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Armanino Foods New performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Armanino Foods Analysis, Armanino Foods Valuation, Armanino Foods Correlation, Armanino Foods Hype Analysis, Armanino Foods Volatility, Armanino Foods Price History as well as Armanino Foods Performance.
  
Please specify Armanino Foods' target price for which you would like Armanino Foods odds to be computed.

Armanino Foods Target Price Odds to finish over 11.50

The tendency of Armanino OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.50 90 days 11.50 
about 30.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Armanino Foods to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 30.27 (This Armanino Foods New probability density function shows the probability of Armanino OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Armanino Foods New has a beta of -0.0546. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Armanino Foods are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Armanino Foods New is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Armanino Foods New has an alpha of 0.2062, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Armanino Foods Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Armanino Foods

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Armanino Foods New. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.6311.5013.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.629.4912.65
Details

Armanino Foods Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Armanino Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Armanino Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Armanino Foods New, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Armanino Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.60
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Armanino Foods Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Armanino OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Armanino Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Armanino Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments8.8 M

Armanino Foods Technical Analysis

Armanino Foods' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Armanino OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Armanino Foods New. In general, you should focus on analyzing Armanino OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Armanino Foods Predictive Forecast Models

Armanino Foods' time-series forecasting models is one of many Armanino Foods' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Armanino Foods' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Armanino Foods in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Armanino Foods' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Armanino Foods options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Armanino OTC Stock

Armanino Foods financial ratios help investors to determine whether Armanino OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Armanino with respect to the benefits of owning Armanino Foods security.