Armanino Foods OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| AMNF Stock | USD 11.85 0.32 2.63% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Armanino Foods New on the next trading day is expected to be 12.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.88. Armanino OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Armanino Foods' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the value of rsi of Armanino Foods' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Armanino Foods based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Armanino Foods hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Armanino Foods New from the perspective of Armanino Foods response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Armanino Foods New on the next trading day is expected to be 12.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.88. Armanino Foods after-hype prediction price | USD 11.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Armanino |
Armanino Foods Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Armanino price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Armanino using various technical indicators. When you analyze Armanino charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Armanino Foods Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Armanino Foods New on the next trading day is expected to be 12.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.88.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Armanino OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Armanino Foods' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Armanino Foods OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Armanino Foods | Armanino Foods Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Armanino Foods Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Armanino Foods' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Armanino Foods' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.16 and 14.29, respectively. We have considered Armanino Foods' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Armanino Foods otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Armanino Foods otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.4676 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2238 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0204 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.8766 |
Predictive Modules for Armanino Foods
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Armanino Foods New. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Armanino Foods After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Armanino Foods at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Armanino Foods or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Armanino Foods, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Armanino Foods Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Armanino Foods' otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Armanino Foods' historical news coverage. Armanino Foods' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.78 and 13.92, respectively. We have considered Armanino Foods' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Armanino Foods is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Armanino Foods New is based on 3 months time horizon.
Armanino Foods OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Armanino Foods is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Armanino Foods backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Armanino Foods, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 2.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
11.85 | 11.85 | 0.00 |
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Armanino Foods Hype Timeline
Armanino Foods New is presently traded for 11.85. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Armanino is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on Armanino Foods is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.85. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of December 2022. Armanino Foods New had 2:1 split on the 1st of April 2008. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Armanino Foods to cross-verify your projections.Armanino Foods Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Armanino Foods' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Armanino Foods' future price movements. Getting to know how Armanino Foods' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Armanino Foods may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CUSI | Cuisine Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.05 | (0.11) | 40.02 | |
| HLNFF | High Liner Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.44 | (3.23) | 16.43 | |
| OCGPF | Oceana Group Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ARZTY | Aryzta AG PK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.89 | |
| OISXF | Oisix ra daichi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| YAMNF | Ya Man | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| UVPOF | Univanich Palm Oil | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TJBH | Tengjun Biotechnology Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SDSYA | South Dakota Soybean | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.14 | |
| SARDY | Sanford Ltd ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.43 |
Other Forecasting Options for Armanino Foods
For every potential investor in Armanino, whether a beginner or expert, Armanino Foods' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Armanino OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Armanino. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Armanino Foods' price trends.Armanino Foods Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Armanino Foods otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Armanino Foods could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Armanino Foods by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Armanino Foods Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Armanino Foods otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Armanino Foods shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Armanino Foods otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Armanino Foods New entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 949.29 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.80) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 12.05 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 11.98 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.36) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.32) |
Armanino Foods Risk Indicators
The analysis of Armanino Foods' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Armanino Foods' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting armanino otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.09 | |||
| Variance | 4.36 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.97 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.53 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.77) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Armanino Foods
The number of cover stories for Armanino Foods depends on current market conditions and Armanino Foods' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Armanino Foods is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Armanino Foods' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Armanino Foods Short Properties
Armanino Foods' future price predictability will typically decrease when Armanino Foods' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Armanino Foods New often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Armanino Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Armanino Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.8 M |
Other Information on Investing in Armanino OTC Stock
Armanino Foods financial ratios help investors to determine whether Armanino OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Armanino with respect to the benefits of owning Armanino Foods security.