American Software Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.22
| AMSWADelisted Stock | USD 10.77 0.26 2.47% |
American |
American Software Target Price Odds to finish below 7.22
The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 7.22 or more in 90 days |
| 10.77 | 90 days | 7.22 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Software to drop to $ 7.22 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This American Software probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Software price to stay between $ 7.22 and its current price of $10.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 72.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon American Software has a beta of 0.23. This suggests as returns on the market go up, American Software average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding American Software will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally American Software has an alpha of 0.2612, implying that it can generate a 0.26 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). American Software Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for American Software
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Software. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Software's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Software Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Software is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Software's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Software, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Software within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
American Software Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Software for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Software can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American Software is now traded under the symbol LGTY. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It! | |
| American Software is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| American Software generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| American Software has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
American Software Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Software's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Software's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 83.8 M |
American Software Technical Analysis
American Software's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Software. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
American Software Predictive Forecast Models
American Software's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Software's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Software's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about American Software
Checking the ongoing alerts about American Software for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Software help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| American Software is now traded under the symbol LGTY. Please update your portfolios or report it if you believe this is an error. Report It! | |
| American Software is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| American Software generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| American Software has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| About 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Other Consideration for investing in American Stock
If you are still planning to invest in American Software check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the American Software's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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