Embotelladora Andina (Chile) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2135.1
| ANDINAA Stock | 2,497 2.60 0.10% |
Embotelladora |
Embotelladora Andina Target Price Odds to finish below 2135.1
The tendency of Embotelladora Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2,135 or more in 90 days |
| 2,497 | 90 days | 2,135 | about 14.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Embotelladora Andina to drop to 2,135 or more in 90 days from now is about 14.6 (This Embotelladora Andina SA probability density function shows the probability of Embotelladora Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Embotelladora Andina price to stay between 2,135 and its current price of 2497.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Embotelladora Andina SA has a beta of -0.3. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Embotelladora Andina are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Embotelladora Andina SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Embotelladora Andina SA has an alpha of 0.2012, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Embotelladora Andina Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Embotelladora Andina
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Embotelladora Andina. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Embotelladora Andina Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Embotelladora Andina is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Embotelladora Andina's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Embotelladora Andina SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Embotelladora Andina within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 131.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Embotelladora Andina Technical Analysis
Embotelladora Andina's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Embotelladora Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Embotelladora Andina SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Embotelladora Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Embotelladora Andina Predictive Forecast Models
Embotelladora Andina's time-series forecasting models is one of many Embotelladora Andina's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Embotelladora Andina's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Embotelladora Andina in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Embotelladora Andina's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Embotelladora Andina options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Embotelladora Stock
Embotelladora Andina financial ratios help investors to determine whether Embotelladora Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Embotelladora with respect to the benefits of owning Embotelladora Andina security.