Anadolu Hayat (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 97.8
| ANHYT Stock | TRY 96.60 0.60 0.62% |
Anadolu |
Anadolu Hayat Target Price Odds to finish below 97.8
The tendency of Anadolu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 97.80 after 90 days |
| 96.60 | 90 days | 97.80 | about 49.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Anadolu Hayat to stay under 97.80 after 90 days from now is about 49.1 (This Anadolu Hayat Emeklilik probability density function shows the probability of Anadolu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Anadolu Hayat Emeklilik price to stay between its current price of 96.60 and 97.80 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Anadolu Hayat has a beta of 0.57. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Anadolu Hayat average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Anadolu Hayat Emeklilik will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Anadolu Hayat Emeklilik has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Anadolu Hayat Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Anadolu Hayat
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anadolu Hayat Emeklilik. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Anadolu Hayat's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Anadolu Hayat Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Anadolu Hayat is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Anadolu Hayat's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Anadolu Hayat Emeklilik, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Anadolu Hayat within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Anadolu Hayat Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Anadolu Hayat for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Anadolu Hayat Emeklilik can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Anadolu Hayat generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Anadolu Hayat Emeklilik has accumulated 52.05 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 5.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Anadolu Hayat Emeklilik has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Anadolu Hayat until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Anadolu Hayat's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Anadolu Hayat Emeklilik sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Anadolu to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Anadolu Hayat's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 89.0% of Anadolu Hayat shares are held by company insiders |
Anadolu Hayat Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Anadolu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Anadolu Hayat's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Anadolu Hayat's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 430 M |
Anadolu Hayat Technical Analysis
Anadolu Hayat's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Anadolu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Anadolu Hayat Emeklilik. In general, you should focus on analyzing Anadolu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Anadolu Hayat Predictive Forecast Models
Anadolu Hayat's time-series forecasting models is one of many Anadolu Hayat's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Anadolu Hayat's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Anadolu Hayat Emeklilik
Checking the ongoing alerts about Anadolu Hayat for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Anadolu Hayat Emeklilik help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Anadolu Hayat generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Anadolu Hayat Emeklilik has accumulated 52.05 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 5.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Anadolu Hayat Emeklilik has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Anadolu Hayat until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Anadolu Hayat's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Anadolu Hayat Emeklilik sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Anadolu to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Anadolu Hayat's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 89.0% of Anadolu Hayat shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Anadolu Stock
Anadolu Hayat financial ratios help investors to determine whether Anadolu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Anadolu with respect to the benefits of owning Anadolu Hayat security.