Anta Sports Products Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 5.27

ANPDF Stock  USD 10.22  0.27  2.57%   
ANTA Sports' future price is the expected price of ANTA Sports instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ANTA Sports Products performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ANTA Sports Backtesting, ANTA Sports Valuation, ANTA Sports Correlation, ANTA Sports Hype Analysis, ANTA Sports Volatility, ANTA Sports History as well as ANTA Sports Performance.
  
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ANTA Sports Target Price Odds to finish below 5.27

The tendency of ANTA Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 5.27  or more in 90 days
 10.22 90 days 5.27 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ANTA Sports to drop to $ 5.27  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This ANTA Sports Products probability density function shows the probability of ANTA Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ANTA Sports Products price to stay between $ 5.27  and its current price of $10.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.25 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ANTA Sports Products has a beta of -0.67. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ANTA Sports are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ANTA Sports Products is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ANTA Sports Products has an alpha of 0.4861, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ANTA Sports Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ANTA Sports

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ANTA Sports Products. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ANTA Sports' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.2410.2215.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.099.0714.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.7510.7315.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.9810.5911.20
Details

ANTA Sports Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ANTA Sports is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ANTA Sports' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ANTA Sports Products, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ANTA Sports within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.67
σ
Overall volatility
1.32
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

ANTA Sports Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ANTA Sports for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ANTA Sports Products can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ANTA Sports Products had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

ANTA Sports Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ANTA Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ANTA Sports' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ANTA Sports' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.7 B

ANTA Sports Technical Analysis

ANTA Sports' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ANTA Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ANTA Sports Products. In general, you should focus on analyzing ANTA Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ANTA Sports Predictive Forecast Models

ANTA Sports' time-series forecasting models is one of many ANTA Sports' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ANTA Sports' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ANTA Sports Products

Checking the ongoing alerts about ANTA Sports for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ANTA Sports Products help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ANTA Sports Products had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in ANTA Pink Sheet

ANTA Sports financial ratios help investors to determine whether ANTA Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ANTA with respect to the benefits of owning ANTA Sports security.