Apax Global (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 140.10
| APAX Stock | 141.20 0.60 0.42% |
Apax |
Apax Global Target Price Odds to finish below 140.10
The tendency of Apax Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 140.10 or more in 90 days |
| 141.20 | 90 days | 140.10 | about 30.26 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Apax Global to drop to 140.10 or more in 90 days from now is about 30.26 (This Apax Global Alpha probability density function shows the probability of Apax Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Apax Global Alpha price to stay between 140.10 and its current price of 141.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.67 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Apax Global has a beta of 0.29. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Apax Global average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Apax Global Alpha will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Apax Global Alpha has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Apax Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Apax Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apax Global Alpha. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Apax Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Apax Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Apax Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Apax Global Alpha, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Apax Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Apax Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Apax Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Apax Global Alpha can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Apax Global Alpha is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Apax Global Alpha Ltd Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Portfolio Performance ... By GuruFocus - Investing.com Canada |
Apax Global Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Apax Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Apax Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apax Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 494.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 101.4 M |
Apax Global Technical Analysis
Apax Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Apax Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Apax Global Alpha. In general, you should focus on analyzing Apax Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Apax Global Predictive Forecast Models
Apax Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Apax Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Apax Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Apax Global Alpha
Checking the ongoing alerts about Apax Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Apax Global Alpha help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Apax Global Alpha is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Apax Global Alpha Ltd Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Portfolio Performance ... By GuruFocus - Investing.com Canada |
Additional Tools for Apax Stock Analysis
When running Apax Global's price analysis, check to measure Apax Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Apax Global is operating at the current time. Most of Apax Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Apax Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Apax Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Apax Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.