Apollo Power (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 240.10

APLP Stock   215.70  7.80  3.49%   
Apollo Power's future price is the expected price of Apollo Power instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Apollo Power performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Apollo Power Backtesting, Apollo Power Valuation, Apollo Power Correlation, Apollo Power Hype Analysis, Apollo Power Volatility, Apollo Power History as well as Apollo Power Performance.
  
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Apollo Power Target Price Odds to finish over 240.10

The tendency of Apollo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  240.10  or more in 90 days
 215.70 90 days 240.10 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Apollo Power to move over  240.10  or more in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Apollo Power probability density function shows the probability of Apollo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Apollo Power price to stay between its current price of  215.70  and  240.10  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Apollo Power has a beta of -0.81. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Apollo Power are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Apollo Power is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Apollo Power has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Apollo Power Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Apollo Power

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apollo Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
211.78215.70219.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
203.15207.07237.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
228.09232.01235.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
154.91322.62490.33
Details

Apollo Power Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Apollo Power is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Apollo Power's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Apollo Power, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Apollo Power within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.81
σ
Overall volatility
106.78
Ir
Information ratio -0.38

Apollo Power Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Apollo Power for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Apollo Power can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Apollo Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Apollo Power has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 2 M. Net Loss for the year was (34.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 487 K.
Apollo Power has accumulated about 1.97 M in cash with (25.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.16.
Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Apollo Power Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Apollo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Apollo Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apollo Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding39.5 M
Shares Float14.3 M

Apollo Power Technical Analysis

Apollo Power's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Apollo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Apollo Power. In general, you should focus on analyzing Apollo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Apollo Power Predictive Forecast Models

Apollo Power's time-series forecasting models is one of many Apollo Power's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Apollo Power's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Apollo Power

Checking the ongoing alerts about Apollo Power for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Apollo Power help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Apollo Power generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Apollo Power has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 2 M. Net Loss for the year was (34.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 487 K.
Apollo Power has accumulated about 1.97 M in cash with (25.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.16.
Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Apollo Stock

Apollo Power financial ratios help investors to determine whether Apollo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Apollo with respect to the benefits of owning Apollo Power security.