Appen (Australia) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.18
| APX Stock | 2.25 0.08 3.69% |
Appen |
Appen Target Price Odds to finish below 2.18
The tendency of Appen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2.18 or more in 90 days |
| 2.25 | 90 days | 2.18 | about 60.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Appen to drop to 2.18 or more in 90 days from now is about 60.96 (This Appen probability density function shows the probability of Appen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Appen price to stay between 2.18 and its current price of 2.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.21 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Appen will likely underperform. Additionally Appen has an alpha of 0.7575, implying that it can generate a 0.76 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Appen Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Appen
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Appen. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Appen Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Appen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Appen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Appen, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Appen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.76 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Appen Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Appen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Appen can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Appen is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Appen appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 411.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (173.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 54.93 M. | |
| Appen generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Appen Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Appen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Appen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Appen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 142.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 32.2 M |
Appen Technical Analysis
Appen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Appen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Appen. In general, you should focus on analyzing Appen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Appen Predictive Forecast Models
Appen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Appen's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Appen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Appen
Checking the ongoing alerts about Appen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Appen help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Appen is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Appen appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 411.31 M. Net Loss for the year was (173.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 54.93 M. | |
| Appen generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Appen Stock Analysis
When running Appen's price analysis, check to measure Appen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Appen is operating at the current time. Most of Appen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Appen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Appen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Appen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.