Aquabounty Technologies Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.9

AQB Stock  USD 0.99  0.02  1.98%   
AquaBounty Technologies' future price is the expected price of AquaBounty Technologies instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AquaBounty Technologies performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out AquaBounty Technologies Backtesting, AquaBounty Technologies Valuation, AquaBounty Technologies Correlation, AquaBounty Technologies Hype Analysis, AquaBounty Technologies Volatility, AquaBounty Technologies History as well as AquaBounty Technologies Performance.
For information on how to trade AquaBounty Stock refer to our How to Trade AquaBounty Stock guide.
  
At present, AquaBounty Technologies' Price Book Value Ratio is projected to slightly grow based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Book Ratio is expected to grow to 0.07, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 4.21. Please specify AquaBounty Technologies' target price for which you would like AquaBounty Technologies odds to be computed.

AquaBounty Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 0.9

The tendency of AquaBounty Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.90  or more in 90 days
 0.99 90 days 0.90 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AquaBounty Technologies to drop to $ 0.90  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This AquaBounty Technologies probability density function shows the probability of AquaBounty Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AquaBounty Technologies price to stay between $ 0.90  and its current price of $0.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.41 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon AquaBounty Technologies has a beta of 0.94. This suggests AquaBounty Technologies market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, AquaBounty Technologies is expected to follow. Additionally AquaBounty Technologies has an alpha of 0.1878, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   AquaBounty Technologies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AquaBounty Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AquaBounty Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.986.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.816.1311.45
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.7221.6724.05
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-4.33-4.33-4.33
Details

AquaBounty Technologies Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AquaBounty Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AquaBounty Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AquaBounty Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AquaBounty Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.94
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

AquaBounty Technologies Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AquaBounty Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AquaBounty Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AquaBounty Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
AquaBounty Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
AquaBounty Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.47 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (27.56 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (10.49 M).
AquaBounty Technologies has about 148.24 M in cash with (24.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.09, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
AquaBounty Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 70116 shares by David Melbourne of AquaBounty Technologies at 0.36 subject to Rule 16b-3

AquaBounty Technologies Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AquaBounty Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AquaBounty Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AquaBounty Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments8.2 M

AquaBounty Technologies Technical Analysis

AquaBounty Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AquaBounty Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AquaBounty Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing AquaBounty Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AquaBounty Technologies Predictive Forecast Models

AquaBounty Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many AquaBounty Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AquaBounty Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AquaBounty Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about AquaBounty Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AquaBounty Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AquaBounty Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
AquaBounty Technologies has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
AquaBounty Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.47 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (27.56 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (10.49 M).
AquaBounty Technologies has about 148.24 M in cash with (24.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.09, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
AquaBounty Technologies has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 70116 shares by David Melbourne of AquaBounty Technologies at 0.36 subject to Rule 16b-3
When determining whether AquaBounty Technologies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of AquaBounty Technologies' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Aquabounty Technologies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Aquabounty Technologies Stock:
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AquaBounty Technologies. If investors know AquaBounty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AquaBounty Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(19.06)
Revenue Per Share
0.326
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.94)
Return On Assets
(0.09)
Return On Equity
(0.54)
The market value of AquaBounty Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AquaBounty that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AquaBounty Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AquaBounty Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AquaBounty Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AquaBounty Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AquaBounty Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AquaBounty Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AquaBounty Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.