Aqr Managed Futures Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 8.63

AQMNX Fund  USD 8.63  0.08  0.94%   
Aqr Managed's future price is the expected price of Aqr Managed instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Aqr Managed Futures performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Aqr Managed Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Aqr Managed Correlation, Aqr Managed Hype Analysis, Aqr Managed Volatility, Aqr Managed History as well as Aqr Managed Performance.
  
Please specify Aqr Managed's target price for which you would like Aqr Managed odds to be computed.

Aqr Managed Target Price Odds to finish over 8.63

The tendency of Aqr Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.63 90 days 8.63 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aqr Managed to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Aqr Managed Futures probability density function shows the probability of Aqr Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aqr Managed has a beta of 0.34. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aqr Managed average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aqr Managed Futures will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aqr Managed Futures has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Aqr Managed Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Aqr Managed

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aqr Managed Futures. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.128.558.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.098.528.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.108.538.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.268.428.57
Details

Aqr Managed Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aqr Managed is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aqr Managed's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aqr Managed Futures, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aqr Managed within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0031
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.34
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Aqr Managed Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aqr Managed for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aqr Managed Futures can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 14.46% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Aqr Managed Technical Analysis

Aqr Managed's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aqr Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aqr Managed Futures. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aqr Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Aqr Managed Predictive Forecast Models

Aqr Managed's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aqr Managed's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aqr Managed's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Aqr Managed Futures

Checking the ongoing alerts about Aqr Managed for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aqr Managed Futures help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 14.46% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Other Information on Investing in Aqr Mutual Fund

Aqr Managed financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aqr Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aqr with respect to the benefits of owning Aqr Managed security.
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