Astoria Investments (South Africa) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 801.68
| ARA Stock | 825.00 0.00 0.00% |
Astoria |
Astoria Investments Target Price Odds to finish below 801.68
The tendency of Astoria Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 801.68 or more in 90 days |
| 825.00 | 90 days | 801.68 | about 12.24 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Astoria Investments to drop to 801.68 or more in 90 days from now is about 12.24 (This Astoria Investments probability density function shows the probability of Astoria Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Astoria Investments price to stay between 801.68 and its current price of 825.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.83 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Astoria Investments has a beta of -0.43. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Astoria Investments are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Astoria Investments is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Astoria Investments has an alpha of 0.1028, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Astoria Investments Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Astoria Investments
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Astoria Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Astoria Investments Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Astoria Investments is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Astoria Investments' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Astoria Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Astoria Investments within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.43 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 44.86 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Astoria Investments Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Astoria Investments for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Astoria Investments can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Astoria Investments generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Astoria Investments Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Astoria Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Astoria Investments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Astoria Investments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 M |
Astoria Investments Technical Analysis
Astoria Investments' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Astoria Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Astoria Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing Astoria Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Astoria Investments Predictive Forecast Models
Astoria Investments' time-series forecasting models is one of many Astoria Investments' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Astoria Investments' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Astoria Investments
Checking the ongoing alerts about Astoria Investments for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Astoria Investments help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Astoria Investments generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 21.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Astoria Stock
Astoria Investments financial ratios help investors to determine whether Astoria Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Astoria with respect to the benefits of owning Astoria Investments security.