Accuray Incorporated Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.09
| ARAY Stock | USD 1.93 0.04 2.12% |
Accuray |
Accuray Incorporated Target Price Odds to finish below 2.09
The tendency of Accuray Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 2.09 after 90 days |
| 1.93 | 90 days | 2.09 | about 82.65 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Accuray Incorporated to stay under $ 2.09 after 90 days from now is about 82.65 (This Accuray Incorporated probability density function shows the probability of Accuray Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Accuray Incorporated price to stay between its current price of $ 1.93 and $ 2.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.53 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.09 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Accuray Incorporated will likely underperform. Additionally Accuray Incorporated has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Accuray Incorporated Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Accuray Incorporated
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Accuray Incorporated. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Accuray Incorporated Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Accuray Incorporated is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Accuray Incorporated's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Accuray Incorporated, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Accuray Incorporated within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.54 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Accuray Incorporated Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Accuray Incorporated for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Accuray Incorporated can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Accuray Incorporated generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Accuray Incorporated may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Accuray Incorporated has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 446.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (15.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 153.96 M. | |
| Accuray Incorporated currently holds about 97.84 M in cash with (11.9 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.05. | |
| Roughly 63.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Merit Medical Stock Gains 37.9 percent Year to Date Whats Behind the Rally |
Accuray Incorporated Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Accuray Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Accuray Incorporated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Accuray Incorporated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 98.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 68.6 M |
Accuray Incorporated Technical Analysis
Accuray Incorporated's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Accuray Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Accuray Incorporated. In general, you should focus on analyzing Accuray Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Accuray Incorporated Predictive Forecast Models
Accuray Incorporated's time-series forecasting models is one of many Accuray Incorporated's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Accuray Incorporated's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Accuray Incorporated
Checking the ongoing alerts about Accuray Incorporated for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Accuray Incorporated help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Accuray Incorporated generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Accuray Incorporated may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Accuray Incorporated has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 446.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (15.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 153.96 M. | |
| Accuray Incorporated currently holds about 97.84 M in cash with (11.9 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.05. | |
| Roughly 63.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Merit Medical Stock Gains 37.9 percent Year to Date Whats Behind the Rally |
Additional Tools for Accuray Stock Analysis
When running Accuray Incorporated's price analysis, check to measure Accuray Incorporated's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Accuray Incorporated is operating at the current time. Most of Accuray Incorporated's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Accuray Incorporated's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Accuray Incorporated's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Accuray Incorporated to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.