Arctic Gold (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01
| ARCT Stock | SEK 0.29 0.02 7.41% |
Arctic |
Arctic Gold Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01
The tendency of Arctic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.29 | 90 days | 0.01 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arctic Gold to drop to kr 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Arctic Gold Publ probability density function shows the probability of Arctic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Arctic Gold Publ price to stay between kr 0.01 and its current price of kr0.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.34 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Arctic Gold will likely underperform. Additionally Arctic Gold Publ has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Arctic Gold Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Arctic Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arctic Gold Publ. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Arctic Gold Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arctic Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arctic Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arctic Gold Publ, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arctic Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Arctic Gold Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arctic Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arctic Gold Publ can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Arctic Gold Publ had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Arctic Gold Publ has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 118 K. Net Loss for the year was (15.87 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (15.7 M). | |
| Arctic Gold Publ has accumulated about 6.71 M in cash with (11.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1. | |
| Roughly 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Arctic Gold Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arctic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arctic Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arctic Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 91.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18 M |
Arctic Gold Technical Analysis
Arctic Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arctic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arctic Gold Publ. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arctic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Arctic Gold Predictive Forecast Models
Arctic Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Arctic Gold's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Arctic Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Arctic Gold Publ
Checking the ongoing alerts about Arctic Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arctic Gold Publ help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Arctic Gold Publ had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Arctic Gold Publ has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 118 K. Net Loss for the year was (15.87 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (15.7 M). | |
| Arctic Gold Publ has accumulated about 6.71 M in cash with (11.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1. | |
| Roughly 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Arctic Stock Analysis
When running Arctic Gold's price analysis, check to measure Arctic Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arctic Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Arctic Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arctic Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arctic Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arctic Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.