Arctic Gold (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.29

ARCT Stock  SEK 0.27  0.04  12.90%   
Arctic Gold's future price is the expected price of Arctic Gold instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Arctic Gold Publ performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Arctic Gold Backtesting, Arctic Gold Valuation, Arctic Gold Correlation, Arctic Gold Hype Analysis, Arctic Gold Volatility, Arctic Gold History as well as Arctic Gold Performance.
  
Please specify Arctic Gold's target price for which you would like Arctic Gold odds to be computed.

Arctic Gold Target Price Odds to finish over 0.29

The tendency of Arctic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 0.29  or more in 90 days
 0.27 90 days 0.29 
about 50.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arctic Gold to move over kr 0.29  or more in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This Arctic Gold Publ probability density function shows the probability of Arctic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Arctic Gold Publ price to stay between its current price of kr 0.27  and kr 0.29  at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.35 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Arctic Gold will likely underperform. Additionally Arctic Gold Publ has an alpha of 0.043, implying that it can generate a 0.043 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Arctic Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Arctic Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arctic Gold Publ. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.276.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.236.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.316.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.230.270.31
Details

Arctic Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arctic Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arctic Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arctic Gold Publ, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arctic Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Arctic Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arctic Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arctic Gold Publ can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Arctic Gold Publ had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Arctic Gold Publ has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 118 K. Net Loss for the year was (15.87 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (15.7 M).
Arctic Gold Publ has accumulated about 6.71 M in cash with (11.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1.
Roughly 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Arctic Gold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arctic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arctic Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arctic Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding91.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments18 M

Arctic Gold Technical Analysis

Arctic Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arctic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arctic Gold Publ. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arctic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Arctic Gold Predictive Forecast Models

Arctic Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Arctic Gold's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Arctic Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Arctic Gold Publ

Checking the ongoing alerts about Arctic Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arctic Gold Publ help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Arctic Gold Publ had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Arctic Gold Publ has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the revenue of 118 K. Net Loss for the year was (15.87 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (15.7 M).
Arctic Gold Publ has accumulated about 6.71 M in cash with (11.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1.
Roughly 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Arctic Stock Analysis

When running Arctic Gold's price analysis, check to measure Arctic Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arctic Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Arctic Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arctic Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arctic Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arctic Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.