Avanti Energy Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0009
| ARGYF Stock | USD 0.09 0.01 11.41% |
Avanti |
Avanti Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0009
The tendency of Avanti Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.0009 or more in 90 days |
| 0.09 | 90 days | 0.0009 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Avanti Energy to drop to $ 0.0009 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Avanti Energy probability density function shows the probability of Avanti Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Avanti Energy price to stay between $ 0.0009 and its current price of $0.0947 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.42 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Avanti Energy has a beta of -1.26. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Avanti Energy are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Avanti Energy is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Avanti Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Avanti Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Avanti Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Avanti Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Avanti Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Avanti Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Avanti Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Avanti Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Avanti Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Avanti Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Avanti Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Avanti Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Avanti Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Avanti Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Avanti Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Avanti Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Avanti Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (10.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Avanti Energy has accumulated about 3.43 M in cash with (6.15 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06. |
Avanti Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Avanti Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Avanti Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Avanti Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.6 M |
Avanti Energy Technical Analysis
Avanti Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Avanti Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Avanti Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Avanti Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Avanti Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Avanti Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Avanti Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Avanti Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Avanti Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Avanti Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Avanti Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Avanti Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Avanti Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Avanti Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Avanti Energy has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (10.56 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Avanti Energy has accumulated about 3.43 M in cash with (6.15 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06. |
Other Information on Investing in Avanti Pink Sheet
Avanti Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Avanti Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Avanti with respect to the benefits of owning Avanti Energy security.