Archer Stock Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 75.34

ARSKX Fund  USD 76.46  0.37  0.49%   
Archer Stock's future price is the expected price of Archer Stock instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Archer Stock Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Archer Stock Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Archer Stock Correlation, Archer Stock Hype Analysis, Archer Stock Volatility, Archer Stock History as well as Archer Stock Performance.
  
Please specify Archer Stock's target price for which you would like Archer Stock odds to be computed.

Archer Stock Target Price Odds to finish below 75.34

The tendency of Archer Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 75.34  or more in 90 days
 76.46 90 days 75.34 
about 59.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Archer Stock to drop to $ 75.34  or more in 90 days from now is about 59.22 (This Archer Stock Fund probability density function shows the probability of Archer Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Archer Stock price to stay between $ 75.34  and its current price of $76.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.94 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Archer Stock has a beta of 0.0106. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Archer Stock average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Archer Stock Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Archer Stock Fund has an alpha of 0.0058, implying that it can generate a 0.005767 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Archer Stock Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Archer Stock

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Archer Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
75.4876.0976.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.1675.7776.38
Details

Archer Stock Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Archer Stock is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Archer Stock's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Archer Stock Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Archer Stock within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.86
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Archer Stock Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Archer Stock for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Archer Stock can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 98.84% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Archer Stock Technical Analysis

Archer Stock's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Archer Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Archer Stock Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Archer Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Archer Stock Predictive Forecast Models

Archer Stock's time-series forecasting models is one of many Archer Stock's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Archer Stock's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Archer Stock

Checking the ongoing alerts about Archer Stock for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Archer Stock help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 98.84% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Archer Mutual Fund

Archer Stock financial ratios help investors to determine whether Archer Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Archer with respect to the benefits of owning Archer Stock security.
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