Actelis Networks Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.13
| ASNS Stock | USD 1.28 0.07 5.79% |
Actelis |
Actelis Networks Target Price Odds to finish below 1.13
The tendency of Actelis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.13 or more in 90 days |
| 1.28 | 90 days | 1.13 | about 1.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Actelis Networks to drop to $ 1.13 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.92 (This Actelis Networks probability density function shows the probability of Actelis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Actelis Networks price to stay between $ 1.13 and its current price of $1.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.37 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.44 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Actelis Networks will likely underperform. Additionally Actelis Networks has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Actelis Networks Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Actelis Networks
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Actelis Networks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Actelis Networks Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Actelis Networks is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Actelis Networks' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Actelis Networks, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Actelis Networks within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Actelis Networks Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Actelis Networks for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Actelis Networks can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Actelis Networks generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Actelis Networks may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Actelis Networks has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Actelis Networks has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.11 M. | |
| Actelis Networks currently holds about 12.36 M in cash with (6.58 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.71. | |
| Actelis Networks has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Head to Head Review Actelis Networks Its Rivals |
Actelis Networks Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Actelis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Actelis Networks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Actelis Networks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 817 K | |
| Shares Float | 5.2 M |
Actelis Networks Technical Analysis
Actelis Networks' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Actelis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Actelis Networks. In general, you should focus on analyzing Actelis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Actelis Networks Predictive Forecast Models
Actelis Networks' time-series forecasting models is one of many Actelis Networks' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Actelis Networks' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Actelis Networks
Checking the ongoing alerts about Actelis Networks for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Actelis Networks help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Actelis Networks generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Actelis Networks may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Actelis Networks has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Actelis Networks has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.29 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.11 M. | |
| Actelis Networks currently holds about 12.36 M in cash with (6.58 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.71. | |
| Actelis Networks has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Head to Head Review Actelis Networks Its Rivals |
Additional Tools for Actelis Stock Analysis
When running Actelis Networks' price analysis, check to measure Actelis Networks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Actelis Networks is operating at the current time. Most of Actelis Networks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Actelis Networks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Actelis Networks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Actelis Networks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.