An Pha (Vietnam) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4090.00

ASP Stock   4,090  50.00  1.21%   
An Pha's future price is the expected price of An Pha instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of An Pha Petroleum performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out An Pha Backtesting, An Pha Valuation, An Pha Correlation, An Pha Hype Analysis, An Pha Volatility, An Pha History as well as An Pha Performance.
  
Please specify An Pha's target price for which you would like An Pha odds to be computed.

An Pha Target Price Odds to finish over 4090.00

The tendency of ASP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4,090 90 days 4,090 
about 49.76
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of An Pha to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 49.76 (This An Pha Petroleum probability density function shows the probability of ASP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon An Pha Petroleum has a beta of -0.0287. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding An Pha are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, An Pha Petroleum is likely to outperform the market. Additionally An Pha Petroleum has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   An Pha Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for An Pha

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as An Pha Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4,0994,1004,101
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3,4113,4124,510
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,9533,9553,956
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,7754,0354,294
Details

An Pha Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. An Pha is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the An Pha's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold An Pha Petroleum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of An Pha within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
124.93
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

An Pha Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of An Pha for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for An Pha Petroleum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
An Pha Petroleum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

An Pha Technical Analysis

An Pha's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ASP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of An Pha Petroleum. In general, you should focus on analyzing ASP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

An Pha Predictive Forecast Models

An Pha's time-series forecasting models is one of many An Pha's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary An Pha's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about An Pha Petroleum

Checking the ongoing alerts about An Pha for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for An Pha Petroleum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
An Pha Petroleum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in ASP Stock

An Pha financial ratios help investors to determine whether ASP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ASP with respect to the benefits of owning An Pha security.