Astor Longshort Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 13.8
| ASTZX Fund | USD 13.14 0.05 0.38% |
Astor |
Astor Long/short Target Price Odds to finish over 13.8
The tendency of Astor Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 13.80 or more in 90 days |
| 13.14 | 90 days | 13.80 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Astor Long/short to move over $ 13.80 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Astor Longshort Fund probability density function shows the probability of Astor Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Astor Long/short price to stay between its current price of $ 13.14 and $ 13.80 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.28 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Astor Long/short has a beta of 0.44. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Astor Long/short average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Astor Longshort Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Astor Longshort Fund has an alpha of 0.0041, implying that it can generate a 0.004126 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Astor Long/short Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Astor Long/short
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Astor Long/short. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Astor Long/short Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Astor Long/short is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Astor Long/short's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Astor Longshort Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Astor Long/short within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Astor Long/short Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Astor Long/short for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Astor Long/short can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund holds about 20.28% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Astor Long/short Technical Analysis
Astor Long/short's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Astor Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Astor Longshort Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Astor Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Astor Long/short Predictive Forecast Models
Astor Long/short's time-series forecasting models is one of many Astor Long/short's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Astor Long/short's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Astor Long/short
Checking the ongoing alerts about Astor Long/short for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Astor Long/short help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund holds about 20.28% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities |
Other Information on Investing in Astor Mutual Fund
Astor Long/short financial ratios help investors to determine whether Astor Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Astor with respect to the benefits of owning Astor Long/short security.
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