Compania Minera (Peru) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.047

ATACOBC1   0.05  0  2.17%   
Compania Minera's future price is the expected price of Compania Minera instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Compania Minera Atacocha performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Compania Minera Backtesting, Compania Minera Valuation, Compania Minera Correlation, Compania Minera Hype Analysis, Compania Minera Volatility, Compania Minera History as well as Compania Minera Performance.
  
Please specify Compania Minera's target price for which you would like Compania Minera odds to be computed.

Compania Minera Target Price Odds to finish below 0.047

The tendency of Compania Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 0.05 90 days 0.05 
about 64.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Compania Minera to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 64.03 (This Compania Minera Atacocha probability density function shows the probability of Compania Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Compania Minera has a beta of 0.66. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Compania Minera average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Compania Minera Atacocha will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Compania Minera Atacocha has an alpha of 0.2333, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Compania Minera Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Compania Minera

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compania Minera Atacocha. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.057.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.047.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00070.047.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.030.040.05
Details

Compania Minera Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Compania Minera is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Compania Minera's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Compania Minera Atacocha, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Compania Minera within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.66
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Compania Minera Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Compania Minera for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Compania Minera Atacocha can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Compania Minera had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Compania Minera has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

Compania Minera Technical Analysis

Compania Minera's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Compania Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Compania Minera Atacocha. In general, you should focus on analyzing Compania Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Compania Minera Predictive Forecast Models

Compania Minera's time-series forecasting models is one of many Compania Minera's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Compania Minera's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Compania Minera Atacocha

Checking the ongoing alerts about Compania Minera for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Compania Minera Atacocha help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Compania Minera had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Compania Minera has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

Other Information on Investing in Compania Stock

Compania Minera financial ratios help investors to determine whether Compania Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Compania with respect to the benefits of owning Compania Minera security.