Trimitra Prawara (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.00

ATAP Stock  IDR 25.00  1.00  3.85%   
Trimitra Prawara's future price is the expected price of Trimitra Prawara instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Trimitra Prawara Goldland performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trimitra Prawara Backtesting, Trimitra Prawara Valuation, Trimitra Prawara Correlation, Trimitra Prawara Hype Analysis, Trimitra Prawara Volatility, Trimitra Prawara History as well as Trimitra Prawara Performance.
  
Please specify Trimitra Prawara's target price for which you would like Trimitra Prawara odds to be computed.

Trimitra Prawara Target Price Odds to finish over 25.00

The tendency of Trimitra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 25.00 90 days 25.00 
about 79.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trimitra Prawara to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 79.05 (This Trimitra Prawara Goldland probability density function shows the probability of Trimitra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.35 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Trimitra Prawara will likely underperform. Additionally Trimitra Prawara Goldland has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Trimitra Prawara Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Trimitra Prawara

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trimitra Prawara Goldland. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.4625.0029.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.4624.0028.54
Details

Trimitra Prawara Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trimitra Prawara is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trimitra Prawara's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trimitra Prawara Goldland, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trimitra Prawara within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.35
σ
Overall volatility
8.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Trimitra Prawara Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trimitra Prawara for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trimitra Prawara Goldland can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trimitra Prawara generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Trimitra Prawara has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Trimitra Prawara Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Trimitra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Trimitra Prawara's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trimitra Prawara's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments10.2 B

Trimitra Prawara Technical Analysis

Trimitra Prawara's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Trimitra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Trimitra Prawara Goldland. In general, you should focus on analyzing Trimitra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Trimitra Prawara Predictive Forecast Models

Trimitra Prawara's time-series forecasting models is one of many Trimitra Prawara's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Trimitra Prawara's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Trimitra Prawara Goldland

Checking the ongoing alerts about Trimitra Prawara for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Trimitra Prawara Goldland help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trimitra Prawara generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Trimitra Prawara has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Other Information on Investing in Trimitra Stock

Trimitra Prawara financial ratios help investors to determine whether Trimitra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Trimitra with respect to the benefits of owning Trimitra Prawara security.