Anchor Tactical Credit Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.21
| ATCSX Fund | USD 8.66 0.02 0.23% |
Anchor |
Anchor Tactical Target Price Odds to finish below 8.21
The tendency of Anchor Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 8.21 or more in 90 days |
| 8.66 | 90 days | 8.21 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Anchor Tactical to drop to $ 8.21 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Anchor Tactical Credit probability density function shows the probability of Anchor Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Anchor Tactical Credit price to stay between $ 8.21 and its current price of $8.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.05 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Anchor Tactical has a beta of 0.37. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Anchor Tactical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Anchor Tactical Credit will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Anchor Tactical Credit has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Anchor Tactical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Anchor Tactical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anchor Tactical Credit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Anchor Tactical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Anchor Tactical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Anchor Tactical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Anchor Tactical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Anchor Tactical Credit, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Anchor Tactical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Anchor Tactical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Anchor Tactical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Anchor Tactical Credit can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Anchor Tactical Credit holds about 35.85% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Anchor Tactical Technical Analysis
Anchor Tactical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Anchor Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Anchor Tactical Credit. In general, you should focus on analyzing Anchor Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Anchor Tactical Predictive Forecast Models
Anchor Tactical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Anchor Tactical's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Anchor Tactical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Anchor Tactical Credit
Checking the ongoing alerts about Anchor Tactical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Anchor Tactical Credit help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund generated three year return of -1.0% | |
| Anchor Tactical Credit holds about 35.85% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Anchor Mutual Fund
Anchor Tactical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Anchor Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Anchor with respect to the benefits of owning Anchor Tactical security.
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
| Price Ceiling Movement Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
| Bollinger Bands Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon |