Avidia Bancorp, Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.34
| AVBC Stock | 17.34 0.09 0.52% |
Avidia Bancorp, Target Price Odds to finish over 17.34
The tendency of Avidia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 17.34 | 90 days | 17.34 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Avidia Bancorp, to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Avidia Bancorp, probability density function shows the probability of Avidia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Avidia Bancorp, has a beta of 0.48. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Avidia Bancorp, average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Avidia Bancorp, will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Avidia Bancorp, has an alpha of 0.1557, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Avidia Bancorp, Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Avidia Bancorp,
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Avidia Bancorp,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Avidia Bancorp, Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Avidia Bancorp, is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Avidia Bancorp,'s value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Avidia Bancorp,, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Avidia Bancorp, within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Avidia Bancorp, Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Avidia Bancorp, for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Avidia Bancorp, can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from aol.com: Council agrees deal to share former grammar school |
Avidia Bancorp, Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Avidia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Avidia Bancorp,'s investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Avidia Bancorp,'s indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 329.4 M |
Avidia Bancorp, Technical Analysis
Avidia Bancorp,'s future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Avidia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Avidia Bancorp,. In general, you should focus on analyzing Avidia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Avidia Bancorp, Predictive Forecast Models
Avidia Bancorp,'s time-series forecasting models is one of many Avidia Bancorp,'s stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Avidia Bancorp,'s historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Avidia Bancorp,
Checking the ongoing alerts about Avidia Bancorp, for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Avidia Bancorp, help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
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Check out Avidia Bancorp, Backtesting, Avidia Bancorp, Valuation, Avidia Bancorp, Correlation, Avidia Bancorp, Hype Analysis, Avidia Bancorp, Volatility, Avidia Bancorp, History as well as Avidia Bancorp, Performance. For information on how to trade Avidia Stock refer to our How to Trade Avidia Stock guide.You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Avidia Bancorp,. If investors know Avidia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Avidia Bancorp, listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Avidia Bancorp, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Avidia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Avidia Bancorp,'s value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Avidia Bancorp,'s true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Avidia Bancorp,'s market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Avidia Bancorp,'s underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Avidia Bancorp,'s value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Avidia Bancorp, is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Avidia Bancorp,'s price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.