Invesco Disciplined Equity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 36.00

AWEIX Fund  USD 34.43  0.21  0.61%   
Invesco Disciplined's future price is the expected price of Invesco Disciplined instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Invesco Disciplined Equity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Invesco Disciplined Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco Disciplined Correlation, Invesco Disciplined Hype Analysis, Invesco Disciplined Volatility, Invesco Disciplined History as well as Invesco Disciplined Performance.
  
Please specify Invesco Disciplined's target price for which you would like Invesco Disciplined odds to be computed.

Invesco Disciplined Target Price Odds to finish over 36.00

The tendency of Invesco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 36.00  or more in 90 days
 34.43 90 days 36.00 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Disciplined to move over $ 36.00  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Invesco Disciplined Equity probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco Disciplined price to stay between its current price of $ 34.43  and $ 36.00  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Invesco Disciplined has a beta of 0.69. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Invesco Disciplined average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Invesco Disciplined Equity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Invesco Disciplined Equity has an alpha of 0.0408, implying that it can generate a 0.0408 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Invesco Disciplined Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco Disciplined

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Disciplined. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.5934.2234.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.8035.3335.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.6134.2434.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
31.9333.2234.52
Details

Invesco Disciplined Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Disciplined is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Disciplined's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Disciplined Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Disciplined within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.69
σ
Overall volatility
0.74
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Invesco Disciplined Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Disciplined for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Disciplined can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 98.88% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Invesco Disciplined Technical Analysis

Invesco Disciplined's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Disciplined Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Invesco Disciplined Predictive Forecast Models

Invesco Disciplined's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Disciplined's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco Disciplined's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Invesco Disciplined

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Disciplined for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Disciplined help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 98.88% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund

Invesco Disciplined financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Disciplined security.
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