Australian Dollar (Australia) Probability of Future Index Price Finishing Over 63.1
| AXY Index | 61.50 0.10 0.16% |
Australian Dollar Target Price Odds to finish over 63.1
The tendency of Australian Index price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 63.10 or more in 90 days |
| 61.50 | 90 days | 63.10 | about 1.14 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Australian Dollar to move over 63.10 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.14 (This Australian Dollar Currency probability density function shows the probability of Australian Index to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Australian Dollar price to stay between its current price of 61.50 and 63.10 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.89 .
Australian Dollar Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Australian Dollar
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Australian Dollar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the index market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the index market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Australian Dollar Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Australian Dollar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Australian Dollar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Australian Dollar Currency, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Australian Dollar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.Australian Dollar Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Australian Dollar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Australian Dollar can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Australian Dollar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Australian Dollar Technical Analysis
Australian Dollar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Australian Index technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Australian Dollar Currency. In general, you should focus on analyzing Australian Index price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Australian Dollar Predictive Forecast Models
Australian Dollar's time-series forecasting models is one of many Australian Dollar's index analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Australian Dollar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the index market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Australian Dollar
Checking the ongoing alerts about Australian Dollar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Australian Dollar help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Australian Dollar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |