Baxter International (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0

B1AX34 Stock   97.30  0.00  0.00%   
Baxter International's future price is the expected price of Baxter International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Baxter International performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Baxter International Backtesting, Baxter International Valuation, Baxter International Correlation, Baxter International Hype Analysis, Baxter International Volatility, Baxter International History as well as Baxter International Performance.
For information on how to trade Baxter Stock refer to our How to Trade Baxter Stock guide.
  
Please specify Baxter International's target price for which you would like Baxter International odds to be computed.

Baxter International Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0

The tendency of Baxter Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  0.00  in 90 days
 97.30 90 days 0.00 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baxter International to stay above  0.00  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Baxter International probability density function shows the probability of Baxter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Baxter International price to stay between  0.00  and its current price of 97.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.48 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Baxter International has a beta of 0.0156 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Baxter International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Baxter International will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Baxter International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Baxter International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Baxter International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baxter International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
95.4397.3099.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
91.5493.41107.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
93.9495.8197.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
89.7498.61107.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Baxter International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Baxter International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Baxter International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Baxter International.

Baxter International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baxter International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baxter International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Baxter International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baxter International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
4.80
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Baxter International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Baxter International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Baxter International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Baxter International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Baxter International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Baxter Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Baxter International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Baxter International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding501.6 M

Baxter International Technical Analysis

Baxter International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Baxter Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Baxter International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Baxter Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Baxter International Predictive Forecast Models

Baxter International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Baxter International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Baxter International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Baxter International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Baxter International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Baxter International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Baxter International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Baxter Stock

When determining whether Baxter International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Baxter International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Baxter International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Baxter International Stock:
Check out Baxter International Backtesting, Baxter International Valuation, Baxter International Correlation, Baxter International Hype Analysis, Baxter International Volatility, Baxter International History as well as Baxter International Performance.
For information on how to trade Baxter Stock refer to our How to Trade Baxter Stock guide.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Baxter International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Baxter International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Baxter International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.