Else Nutrition Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.02
| BABY Stock | 0.02 0.01 20.00% |
Else |
Else Nutrition Target Price Odds to finish over 0.02
The tendency of Else Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 0.02 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Else Nutrition to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Else Nutrition Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Else Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.36 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Else Nutrition will likely underperform. Additionally Else Nutrition Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Else Nutrition Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Else Nutrition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Else Nutrition Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Else Nutrition Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Else Nutrition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Else Nutrition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Else Nutrition Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Else Nutrition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.61 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Else Nutrition Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Else Nutrition for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Else Nutrition Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Else Nutrition generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Else Nutrition has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Else Nutrition has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Else Nutrition has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 9.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (15.61 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.31 M. | |
| Else Nutrition Holdings has accumulated about 23.05 M in cash with (18.31 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Else Nutrition Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Else Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Else Nutrition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Else Nutrition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 129.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.9 M |
Else Nutrition Technical Analysis
Else Nutrition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Else Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Else Nutrition Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Else Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Else Nutrition Predictive Forecast Models
Else Nutrition's time-series forecasting models is one of many Else Nutrition's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Else Nutrition's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Else Nutrition Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Else Nutrition for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Else Nutrition Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Else Nutrition generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Else Nutrition has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Else Nutrition has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Else Nutrition has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 9.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (15.61 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.31 M. | |
| Else Nutrition Holdings has accumulated about 23.05 M in cash with (18.31 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Else Stock
Else Nutrition financial ratios help investors to determine whether Else Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Else with respect to the benefits of owning Else Nutrition security.