Booz Allen Hamilton Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 164.87
| BAH Stock | USD 148.35 1.53 1.02% |
Booz |
Booz Allen Target Price Odds to finish over 164.87
The tendency of Booz Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 164.87 or more in 90 days |
| 148.35 | 90 days | 164.87 | about 39.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Booz Allen to move over $ 164.87 or more in 90 days from now is about 39.74 (This Booz Allen Hamilton probability density function shows the probability of Booz Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Booz Allen Hamilton price to stay between its current price of $ 148.35 and $ 164.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.78 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Booz Allen has a beta of 0.46 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Booz Allen average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Booz Allen Hamilton will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Booz Allen Hamilton has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Booz Allen Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Booz Allen
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Booz Allen Hamilton. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Booz Allen Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Booz Allen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Booz Allen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Booz Allen Hamilton, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Booz Allen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Booz Allen Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Booz Allen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Booz Allen Hamilton can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Booz Allen Hamilton generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Booz Allen Appoints Debra L. Dial to Board of Directors |
Booz Allen Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Booz Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Booz Allen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Booz Allen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 130.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 554.3 M |
Booz Allen Technical Analysis
Booz Allen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Booz Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Booz Allen Hamilton. In general, you should focus on analyzing Booz Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Booz Allen Predictive Forecast Models
Booz Allen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Booz Allen's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Booz Allen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Booz Allen Hamilton
Checking the ongoing alerts about Booz Allen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Booz Allen Hamilton help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Booz Allen Hamilton generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Booz Allen Appoints Debra L. Dial to Board of Directors |
Check out Booz Allen Backtesting, Booz Allen Valuation, Booz Allen Correlation, Booz Allen Hype Analysis, Booz Allen Volatility, Booz Allen History as well as Booz Allen Performance. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is IT Consulting & Other Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Booz Allen. If investors know Booz will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Booz Allen listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.331 | Dividend Share 2 | Earnings Share 6.34 | Revenue Per Share 88.355 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.18 |
The market value of Booz Allen Hamilton is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Booz that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Booz Allen's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Booz Allen's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Booz Allen's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Booz Allen's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Booz Allen's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Booz Allen is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Booz Allen's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.