Bajaj Holdings (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9,895

BAJAJHLDNG   11,168  12.75  0.11%   
Bajaj Holdings' future price is the expected price of Bajaj Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bajaj Holdings Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bajaj Holdings Backtesting, Bajaj Holdings Valuation, Bajaj Holdings Correlation, Bajaj Holdings Hype Analysis, Bajaj Holdings Volatility, Bajaj Holdings History as well as Bajaj Holdings Performance.
  
Please specify Bajaj Holdings' target price for which you would like Bajaj Holdings odds to be computed.

Bajaj Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 9,895

The tendency of Bajaj Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11,168 90 days 11,168 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bajaj Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bajaj Holdings Investment probability density function shows the probability of Bajaj Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bajaj Holdings has a beta of 0.11 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bajaj Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bajaj Holdings Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bajaj Holdings Investment has an alpha of 0.046, implying that it can generate a 0.046 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bajaj Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bajaj Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bajaj Holdings Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11,19411,19612,318
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8,8498,85112,318
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11,51211,51311,515
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10,04910,53511,021
Details

Bajaj Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bajaj Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bajaj Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bajaj Holdings Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bajaj Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
240.31
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Bajaj Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bajaj Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bajaj Holdings Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Market Trading Guide Bajaj Holdings, Ashoka Buildcon among 5 stock recommendations for Tuesday - The Economic Times

Bajaj Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bajaj Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bajaj Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bajaj Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding111.3 M
Dividends Paid14.2 B
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

Bajaj Holdings Technical Analysis

Bajaj Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bajaj Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bajaj Holdings Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bajaj Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bajaj Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Bajaj Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Bajaj Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bajaj Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bajaj Holdings Investment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bajaj Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bajaj Holdings Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Market Trading Guide Bajaj Holdings, Ashoka Buildcon among 5 stock recommendations for Tuesday - The Economic Times

Other Information on Investing in Bajaj Stock

Bajaj Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bajaj Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bajaj with respect to the benefits of owning Bajaj Holdings security.