BANKINTER ADR (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.31
BAK Stock | 7.30 0.05 0.69% |
BANKINTER |
BANKINTER ADR Target Price Odds to finish over 7.31
The tendency of BANKINTER Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 7.31 or more in 90 days |
7.30 | 90 days | 7.31 | about 39.25 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BANKINTER ADR to move over 7.31 or more in 90 days from now is about 39.25 (This BANKINTER ADR 2007 probability density function shows the probability of BANKINTER Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BANKINTER ADR 2007 price to stay between its current price of 7.30 and 7.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.76 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon BANKINTER ADR has a beta of 0.0593 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BANKINTER ADR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BANKINTER ADR 2007 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BANKINTER ADR 2007 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BANKINTER ADR Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for BANKINTER ADR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BANKINTER ADR 2007. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BANKINTER ADR Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BANKINTER ADR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BANKINTER ADR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BANKINTER ADR 2007, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BANKINTER ADR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
BANKINTER ADR Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BANKINTER ADR for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BANKINTER ADR 2007 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.BANKINTER ADR 2007 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
BANKINTER ADR Technical Analysis
BANKINTER ADR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BANKINTER Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BANKINTER ADR 2007. In general, you should focus on analyzing BANKINTER Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BANKINTER ADR Predictive Forecast Models
BANKINTER ADR's time-series forecasting models is one of many BANKINTER ADR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BANKINTER ADR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BANKINTER ADR 2007
Checking the ongoing alerts about BANKINTER ADR for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BANKINTER ADR 2007 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BANKINTER ADR 2007 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |