BANKINTER ADR Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BAK Stock | 13.70 0.30 2.14% |
Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using BANKINTER ADR hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BANKINTER ADR 2007 from the perspective of BANKINTER ADR response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BANKINTER ADR 2007 on the next trading day is expected to be 13.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.03. BANKINTER ADR after-hype prediction price | EUR 13.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
BANKINTER |
BANKINTER ADR Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BANKINTER price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BANKINTER using various technical indicators. When you analyze BANKINTER charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BANKINTER ADR Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BANKINTER ADR 2007 on the next trading day is expected to be 13.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.03.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BANKINTER Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BANKINTER ADR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BANKINTER ADR Stock Forecast Pattern
BANKINTER ADR Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting BANKINTER ADR's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BANKINTER ADR's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.14 and 15.28, respectively. We have considered BANKINTER ADR's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BANKINTER ADR stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BANKINTER ADR stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.1445 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0308 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1672 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0125 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.0299 |
Predictive Modules for BANKINTER ADR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BANKINTER ADR 2007. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BANKINTER ADR Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of BANKINTER ADR at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BANKINTER ADR or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BANKINTER ADR, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BANKINTER ADR Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BANKINTER ADR is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BANKINTER ADR backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BANKINTER ADR, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
13.70 | 13.70 | 0.00 |
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BANKINTER ADR Hype Timeline
BANKINTER ADR 2007 is currently traded for 13.70on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. BANKINTER is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on BANKINTER ADR is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.70. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.BANKINTER ADR Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BANKINTER ADR's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BANKINTER ADR's future price movements. Getting to know how BANKINTER ADR's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BANKINTER ADR may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RIK | RCI Hospitality Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.59 | (4.39) | 18.89 | |
| 5GH | GUARDANT HEALTH CL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.89 | 0.23 | 4.94 | (3.87) | 21.53 | |
| X90 | PROBIOTIX HEALTH LS 05 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.04 | 0.05 | 7.94 | (6.67) | 23.59 | |
| BVF | Bausch Health Companies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.72 | 0.02 | 6.80 | (4.84) | 18.28 | |
| MHG | Molina Healthcare | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.44 | 0.01 | 4.02 | (3.82) | 19.78 | |
| RGG1 | HELIOSTAR METALS LTD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.19 | 0.15 | 8.06 | (7.27) | 22.08 | |
| WY8 | Universal Health Realty | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.06 | 0.05 | 2.46 | (1.51) | 6.13 |
Other Forecasting Options for BANKINTER ADR
For every potential investor in BANKINTER, whether a beginner or expert, BANKINTER ADR's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BANKINTER Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BANKINTER. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BANKINTER ADR's price trends.BANKINTER ADR Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BANKINTER ADR stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BANKINTER ADR could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BANKINTER ADR by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BANKINTER ADR Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BANKINTER ADR stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BANKINTER ADR shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BANKINTER ADR stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BANKINTER ADR 2007 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 13.7 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 13.7 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.15) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.30) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 52.73 |
BANKINTER ADR Risk Indicators
The analysis of BANKINTER ADR's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BANKINTER ADR's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bankinter stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Variance | 3.02 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.47 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.48 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.66) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BANKINTER ADR
The number of cover stories for BANKINTER ADR depends on current market conditions and BANKINTER ADR's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BANKINTER ADR is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BANKINTER ADR's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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