Graniteshares Gold Trust Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 22.80
| BAR Etf | USD 26.25 0.21 0.81% |
GraniteShares |
GraniteShares Gold Target Price Odds to finish below 22.80
The tendency of GraniteShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 22.80 or more in 90 days |
| 26.25 | 90 days | 22.80 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GraniteShares Gold to drop to $ 22.80 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This GraniteShares Gold Trust probability density function shows the probability of GraniteShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of GraniteShares Gold Trust price to stay between $ 22.80 and its current price of $26.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.71 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon GraniteShares Gold Trust has a beta of -0.17 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding GraniteShares Gold are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, GraniteShares Gold Trust is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GraniteShares Gold Trust has an alpha of 0.08, implying that it can generate a 0.08 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). GraniteShares Gold Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for GraniteShares Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GraniteShares Gold Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.GraniteShares Gold Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GraniteShares Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GraniteShares Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GraniteShares Gold Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GraniteShares Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
GraniteShares Gold Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GraniteShares Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GraniteShares Gold Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: ROCCOS TACOS TEQUILA BAR PARTNERS WITH GUY FIERI FOUNDATION TO HOST HURRICANE DISASTER RELIEF FUNDRAISER, NOVEMBER 18 IN BOCA RATON | |
| The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
GraniteShares Gold Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GraniteShares Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GraniteShares Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GraniteShares Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
GraniteShares Gold Technical Analysis
GraniteShares Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. GraniteShares Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of GraniteShares Gold Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing GraniteShares Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
GraniteShares Gold Predictive Forecast Models
GraniteShares Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many GraniteShares Gold's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary GraniteShares Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about GraniteShares Gold Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about GraniteShares Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for GraniteShares Gold Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: ROCCOS TACOS TEQUILA BAR PARTNERS WITH GUY FIERI FOUNDATION TO HOST HURRICANE DISASTER RELIEF FUNDRAISER, NOVEMBER 18 IN BOCA RATON | |
| The fund holds all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
Check out GraniteShares Gold Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, GraniteShares Gold Correlation, GraniteShares Gold Hype Analysis, GraniteShares Gold Volatility, GraniteShares Gold History as well as GraniteShares Gold Performance. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
The market value of GraniteShares Gold Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GraniteShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GraniteShares Gold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GraniteShares Gold's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GraniteShares Gold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GraniteShares Gold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GraniteShares Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GraniteShares Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GraniteShares Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.