Baru Gold Corp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0173

BARUF Stock  USD 0.04  0.01  30.58%   
Baru Gold's future price is the expected price of Baru Gold instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Baru Gold Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Baru Gold Backtesting, Baru Gold Valuation, Baru Gold Correlation, Baru Gold Hype Analysis, Baru Gold Volatility, Baru Gold History as well as Baru Gold Performance.
  
Please specify Baru Gold's target price for which you would like Baru Gold odds to be computed.

Baru Gold Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0173

The tendency of Baru OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.02  in 90 days
 0.04 90 days 0.02 
about 22.18
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baru Gold to stay above $ 0.02  in 90 days from now is about 22.18 (This Baru Gold Corp probability density function shows the probability of Baru OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Baru Gold Corp price to stay between $ 0.02  and its current price of $0.0363 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.18 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Baru Gold Corp has a beta of -0.8 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Baru Gold are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Baru Gold Corp is likely to outperform the market. In addition to that Baru Gold Corp has an alpha of 2.3962, implying that it can generate a 2.4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Baru Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Baru Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baru Gold Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Baru Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0412.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0312.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00090.0512.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.0010.020.04
Details

Baru Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baru Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baru Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Baru Gold Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baru Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
2.40
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.8
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Baru Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Baru Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Baru Gold Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Baru Gold Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Baru Gold Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Baru Gold Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Baru Gold Corp has accumulated 933.73 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.05, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Baru Gold Corp has a current ratio of 0.39, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Baru Gold until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Baru Gold's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Baru Gold Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Baru to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Baru Gold's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (2.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Baru Gold Corp has accumulated about 91.69 K in cash with (2.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Baru Gold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Baru OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Baru Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Baru Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding197.8 M

Baru Gold Technical Analysis

Baru Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Baru OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Baru Gold Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Baru OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Baru Gold Predictive Forecast Models

Baru Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Baru Gold's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Baru Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Baru Gold Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Baru Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Baru Gold Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Baru Gold Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Baru Gold Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Baru Gold Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Baru Gold Corp has accumulated 933.73 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.05, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Baru Gold Corp has a current ratio of 0.39, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Baru Gold until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Baru Gold's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Baru Gold Corp sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Baru to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Baru Gold's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (2.3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Baru Gold Corp has accumulated about 91.69 K in cash with (2.3 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Other Information on Investing in Baru OTC Stock

Baru Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baru OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baru with respect to the benefits of owning Baru Gold security.