Bannari Amman (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 49.6

BASML Stock   54.55  0.24  0.44%   
Bannari Amman's future price is the expected price of Bannari Amman instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bannari Amman Spinning performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bannari Amman Backtesting, Bannari Amman Valuation, Bannari Amman Correlation, Bannari Amman Hype Analysis, Bannari Amman Volatility, Bannari Amman History as well as Bannari Amman Performance.
  
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Bannari Amman Target Price Odds to finish below 49.6

The tendency of Bannari Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  49.60  or more in 90 days
 54.55 90 days 49.60 
nearly 4.04
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bannari Amman to drop to  49.60  or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.04 (This Bannari Amman Spinning probability density function shows the probability of Bannari Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bannari Amman Spinning price to stay between  49.60  and its current price of 54.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.98 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bannari Amman has a beta of 0.57 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bannari Amman average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bannari Amman Spinning will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bannari Amman Spinning has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Bannari Amman Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bannari Amman

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bannari Amman Spinning. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
52.0654.5557.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.9741.4660.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
52.0554.5457.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
51.8253.4355.05
Details

Bannari Amman Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bannari Amman is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bannari Amman's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bannari Amman Spinning, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bannari Amman within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.57
σ
Overall volatility
4.77
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Bannari Amman Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bannari Amman for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bannari Amman Spinning can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bannari Amman generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 9.14 B. Net Loss for the year was (198.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.49 B.
About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bannari Amman Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bannari Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bannari Amman's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bannari Amman's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding64.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments78.9 M

Bannari Amman Technical Analysis

Bannari Amman's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bannari Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bannari Amman Spinning. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bannari Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bannari Amman Predictive Forecast Models

Bannari Amman's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bannari Amman's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bannari Amman's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bannari Amman Spinning

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bannari Amman for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bannari Amman Spinning help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bannari Amman generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 9.14 B. Net Loss for the year was (198.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.49 B.
About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Bannari Stock

Bannari Amman financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bannari Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bannari with respect to the benefits of owning Bannari Amman security.