Bank of Ayudhya (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 25.5
| BAY Stock | THB 25.00 0.10 0.40% |
Bank |
Bank of Ayudhya Target Price Odds to finish over 25.5
The tendency of Bank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 25.50 or more in 90 days |
| 25.00 | 90 days | 25.50 | about 62.47 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bank of Ayudhya to move over 25.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 62.47 (This Bank of Ayudhya probability density function shows the probability of Bank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bank of Ayudhya price to stay between its current price of 25.00 and 25.50 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bank of Ayudhya has a beta of 0.28 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bank of Ayudhya average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bank of Ayudhya will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bank of Ayudhya has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bank of Ayudhya Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bank of Ayudhya
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank of Ayudhya. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bank of Ayudhya Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bank of Ayudhya is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bank of Ayudhya's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bank of Ayudhya, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bank of Ayudhya within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Bank of Ayudhya Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bank of Ayudhya for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bank of Ayudhya can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Bank of Ayudhya Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bank of Ayudhya's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank of Ayudhya's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.4 B |
Bank of Ayudhya Technical Analysis
Bank of Ayudhya's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bank of Ayudhya. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bank of Ayudhya Predictive Forecast Models
Bank of Ayudhya's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bank of Ayudhya's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bank of Ayudhya's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bank of Ayudhya
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bank of Ayudhya for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bank of Ayudhya help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Other Information on Investing in Bank Stock
Bank of Ayudhya financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bank with respect to the benefits of owning Bank of Ayudhya security.