BBGI SICAV (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 127.20

BBGI Stock   127.20  0.20  0.16%   
BBGI SICAV's future price is the expected price of BBGI SICAV instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BBGI SICAV SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BBGI SICAV Backtesting, BBGI SICAV Valuation, BBGI SICAV Correlation, BBGI SICAV Hype Analysis, BBGI SICAV Volatility, BBGI SICAV History as well as BBGI SICAV Performance.
  
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BBGI SICAV Target Price Odds to finish over 127.20

The tendency of BBGI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 127.20 90 days 127.20 
about 66.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BBGI SICAV to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 66.42 (This BBGI SICAV SA probability density function shows the probability of BBGI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BBGI SICAV has a beta of 0.0445 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BBGI SICAV average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BBGI SICAV SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BBGI SICAV SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BBGI SICAV Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BBGI SICAV

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BBGI SICAV SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
126.08127.01127.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
114.30128.25129.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
126.12127.05127.98
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.701.701.70
Details

BBGI SICAV Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BBGI SICAV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BBGI SICAV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BBGI SICAV SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BBGI SICAV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
2.83
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

BBGI SICAV Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BBGI SICAV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BBGI SICAV SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BBGI SICAV SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
BBGI SICAV SA is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
BBGI SICAV generates negative cash flow from operations
About 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 17th of October 2024 BBGI SICAV paid 0.042 per share dividend to its current shareholders

BBGI SICAV Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BBGI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BBGI SICAV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BBGI SICAV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding716.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.7 M

BBGI SICAV Technical Analysis

BBGI SICAV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BBGI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BBGI SICAV SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing BBGI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BBGI SICAV Predictive Forecast Models

BBGI SICAV's time-series forecasting models is one of many BBGI SICAV's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BBGI SICAV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BBGI SICAV SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about BBGI SICAV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BBGI SICAV SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BBGI SICAV SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
BBGI SICAV SA is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
BBGI SICAV generates negative cash flow from operations
About 60.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 17th of October 2024 BBGI SICAV paid 0.042 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Additional Tools for BBGI Stock Analysis

When running BBGI SICAV's price analysis, check to measure BBGI SICAV's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BBGI SICAV is operating at the current time. Most of BBGI SICAV's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BBGI SICAV's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BBGI SICAV's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BBGI SICAV to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.