Balfour Beatty (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 368.10
| BBY Stock | 445.80 4.60 1.02% |
Balfour |
Balfour Beatty Target Price Odds to finish below 368.10
The tendency of Balfour Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 368.10 or more in 90 days |
| 445.80 | 90 days | 368.10 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Balfour Beatty to drop to 368.10 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Balfour Beatty plc probability density function shows the probability of Balfour Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Balfour Beatty plc price to stay between 368.10 and its current price of 445.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Balfour Beatty plc has a beta of -0.0097 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Balfour Beatty are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Balfour Beatty plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Balfour Beatty plc has an alpha of 0.1226, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Balfour Beatty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Balfour Beatty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Balfour Beatty plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Balfour Beatty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Balfour Beatty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Balfour Beatty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Balfour Beatty plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Balfour Beatty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0097 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Balfour Beatty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Balfour Beatty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Balfour Beatty plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Balfour Beatty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Balfour Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Balfour Beatty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Balfour Beatty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 566 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
Balfour Beatty Technical Analysis
Balfour Beatty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Balfour Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Balfour Beatty plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Balfour Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Balfour Beatty Predictive Forecast Models
Balfour Beatty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Balfour Beatty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Balfour Beatty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Balfour Beatty plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Balfour Beatty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Balfour Beatty plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 61.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Other Information on Investing in Balfour Stock
Balfour Beatty financial ratios help investors to determine whether Balfour Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Balfour with respect to the benefits of owning Balfour Beatty security.