Bear Creek Mining Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.25

BCEKF Stock  USD 0.29  0.01  3.33%   
Bear Creek's future price is the expected price of Bear Creek instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bear Creek Mining performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bear Creek Backtesting, Bear Creek Valuation, Bear Creek Correlation, Bear Creek Hype Analysis, Bear Creek Volatility, Bear Creek History as well as Bear Creek Performance.
  
Please specify Bear Creek's target price for which you would like Bear Creek odds to be computed.

Bear Creek Target Price Odds to finish below 0.25

The tendency of Bear OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.25  or more in 90 days
 0.29 90 days 0.25 
about 20.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bear Creek to drop to $ 0.25  or more in 90 days from now is about 20.78 (This Bear Creek Mining probability density function shows the probability of Bear OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bear Creek Mining price to stay between $ 0.25  and its current price of $0.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.49 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Bear Creek has a beta of 0.22 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bear Creek average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bear Creek Mining will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bear Creek Mining has an alpha of 0.4865, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bear Creek Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bear Creek

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bear Creek Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.297.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.277.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.387.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.240.290.34
Details

Bear Creek Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bear Creek is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bear Creek's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bear Creek Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bear Creek within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.49
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Bear Creek Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bear Creek for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bear Creek Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bear Creek Mining is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Bear Creek Mining has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Bear Creek Mining appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Bear Creek Mining has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Bear Creek Mining has accumulated 37.15 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.28, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Bear Creek Mining has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bear Creek until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bear Creek's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bear Creek Mining sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bear to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bear Creek's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (21.85 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (32 K).
Bear Creek Mining has accumulated about 12.47 M in cash with (18.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.
Roughly 20.0% of Bear Creek shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Merck recommends rejection of TRC Capitals mini-tender offer

Bear Creek Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bear OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bear Creek's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bear Creek's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding124.3 M

Bear Creek Technical Analysis

Bear Creek's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bear OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bear Creek Mining. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bear OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bear Creek Predictive Forecast Models

Bear Creek's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bear Creek's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bear Creek's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bear Creek Mining

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bear Creek for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bear Creek Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bear Creek Mining is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Bear Creek Mining has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Bear Creek Mining appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Bear Creek Mining has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Bear Creek Mining has accumulated 37.15 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.28, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Bear Creek Mining has a current ratio of 0.51, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bear Creek until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bear Creek's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bear Creek Mining sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bear to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bear Creek's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (21.85 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (32 K).
Bear Creek Mining has accumulated about 12.47 M in cash with (18.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08.
Roughly 20.0% of Bear Creek shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Merck recommends rejection of TRC Capitals mini-tender offer

Other Information on Investing in Bear OTC Stock

Bear Creek financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bear OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bear with respect to the benefits of owning Bear Creek security.