Grayscale Bitcoin Cash Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 1.8

BCHG Stock  USD 6.79  0.88  11.47%   
Grayscale Bitcoin's future price is the expected price of Grayscale Bitcoin instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Grayscale Bitcoin Cash performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Grayscale Bitcoin Backtesting, Grayscale Bitcoin Valuation, Grayscale Bitcoin Correlation, Grayscale Bitcoin Hype Analysis, Grayscale Bitcoin Volatility, Grayscale Bitcoin History as well as Grayscale Bitcoin Performance.
  
Please specify Grayscale Bitcoin's target price for which you would like Grayscale Bitcoin odds to be computed.

Grayscale Bitcoin Target Price Odds to finish below 1.8

The tendency of Grayscale OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 1.80  or more in 90 days
 6.79 90 days 1.80 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Grayscale Bitcoin to drop to $ 1.80  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Grayscale Bitcoin Cash probability density function shows the probability of Grayscale OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Grayscale Bitcoin Cash price to stay between $ 1.80  and its current price of $6.79 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.57 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 4.77 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Grayscale Bitcoin will likely underperform. Additionally Grayscale Bitcoin Cash has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Grayscale Bitcoin Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Grayscale Bitcoin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Grayscale Bitcoin Cash. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.346.7914.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.305.9313.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.147.0014.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.617.748.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Grayscale Bitcoin. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Grayscale Bitcoin's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Grayscale Bitcoin's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Grayscale Bitcoin Cash.

Grayscale Bitcoin Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Grayscale Bitcoin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Grayscale Bitcoin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Grayscale Bitcoin Cash, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Grayscale Bitcoin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones4.77
σ
Overall volatility
1.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Grayscale Bitcoin Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Grayscale Bitcoin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Grayscale Bitcoin Cash can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grayscale Bitcoin had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Grayscale Bitcoin has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (3.53 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

Grayscale Bitcoin Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Grayscale OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Grayscale Bitcoin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grayscale Bitcoin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding18 M

Grayscale Bitcoin Technical Analysis

Grayscale Bitcoin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Grayscale OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Grayscale Bitcoin Cash. In general, you should focus on analyzing Grayscale OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Grayscale Bitcoin Predictive Forecast Models

Grayscale Bitcoin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Grayscale Bitcoin's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Grayscale Bitcoin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Grayscale Bitcoin Cash

Checking the ongoing alerts about Grayscale Bitcoin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Grayscale Bitcoin Cash help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Grayscale Bitcoin had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Grayscale Bitcoin has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (3.53 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.

Other Information on Investing in Grayscale OTC Stock

Grayscale Bitcoin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Grayscale OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Grayscale with respect to the benefits of owning Grayscale Bitcoin security.